Belisia Bilzen SV vs KSK Heist

30 Sep 2026 · 20:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.6 pp

Belisia Bilzen SV

KSK Heist

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 37.4% DRAW 22.5% AWAY 40.1%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 38.0% 2.52 DRAW 23.4% 4.09 AWAY 38.5% 2.49

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.6 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: KSK Heist

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Belisia Bilzen SV KSK Heist

Shots 11.3 · On target 5.5 Shots 13.5 · On target 4.5

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Belisia Bilzen SV KSK Heist

Shots allowed 11.8 · On target allowed 6.0 Shots allowed 8.3 · On target allowed 4.3

KSK Heist has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Belisia Bilzen SV KSK Heist

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Belisia Bilzen SV ↑ +0.27 (+12.0%)

KSK Heist ↓ -0.11 (-4.2%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.