KFC Merelbeke vs Dessel Sport

30 Sep 2026 · 20:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.5 pp

KFC Merelbeke

Dessel Sport

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 43.4% DRAW 22.0% AWAY 34.6%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 40.9% 2.38 DRAW 23.1% 4.23 AWAY 36.0% 2.71

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.5 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

KFC Merelbeke has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

KFC Merelbeke Dessel Sport

Shots 14.3 · On target 6.3 Shots 13.3 · On target 6.0

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

KFC Merelbeke Dessel Sport

Shots allowed 10.5 · On target allowed 5.0 Shots allowed 12.0 · On target allowed 5.5

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

KFC Merelbeke Dessel Sport

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home weakening

KFC Merelbeke ↑ +0.23 (+10.7%)

Dessel Sport ↑ +0.01 (+0.2%)

The home price has moved clearly higher, while the away price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.