CD Moron Reserves vs CA San Telmo Reserves

24 Sep 2026 · 15:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.3 pp

CD Moron Reserves

CA San Telmo Reserves

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 42.1% DRAW 29.0% AWAY 28.9%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 39.8% 2.27 DRAW 29.2% 3.10 AWAY 31.0% 2.92

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.3 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: CD Moron Reserves

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

CD Moron Reserves CA San Telmo Reserves

Shots 6.8 · On target 1.5 Shots 6.5 · On target 3.5

Recent attacking output favours CA San Telmo Reserves, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

CD Moron Reserves CA San Telmo Reserves

Shots allowed 5.5 · On target allowed 2.5 Shots allowed 10.0 · On target allowed 5.8

CD Moron Reserves has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

CD Moron Reserves CA San Telmo Reserves

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

CD Moron Reserves ↑ +0.02 (+0.9%)

CA San Telmo Reserves ↑ +0.02 (+0.6%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.