Nueva Chicago Reserves vs Club Atletico Mitre Reserves

24 Sep 2026 · 17:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.2 pp

Nueva Chicago Reserves

Club Atletico Mitre Reserves

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 41.0% DRAW 28.6% AWAY 30.3%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 43.4% 2.10 DRAW 28.5% 3.20 AWAY 28.1% 3.24

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.2 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Club Atletico Mitre Reserves has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Nueva Chicago Reserves Club Atletico Mitre Reserves

Shots 10.8 · On target 4.8 Shots 11.0 · On target 5.3

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Nueva Chicago Reserves Club Atletico Mitre Reserves

Shots allowed 10.8 · On target allowed 5.5 Shots allowed 5.5 · On target allowed 3.0

Club Atletico Mitre Reserves has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Nueva Chicago Reserves Club Atletico Mitre Reserves

The combined recent performance profile favours Club Atletico Mitre Reserves.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Nueva Chicago Reserves = (0.0%)

Club Atletico Mitre Reserves ↑ +0.04 (+1.3%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.