Temperley Reserves vs Ferrocarril Midland Reserves

24 Sep 2026 · 20:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.2 pp

Temperley Reserves

Ferrocarril Midland Reserves

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 80.5% DRAW 12.8% AWAY 6.7%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 79.3% 1.22 DRAW 13.8% 7.00 AWAY 6.9% 14.00

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.2 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Temperley Reserves

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Temperley Reserves Ferrocarril Midland Reserves

Shots 11.3 · On target 5.3 Shots 8.3 · On target 2.5

Recent attacking output favours Temperley Reserves, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Temperley Reserves Ferrocarril Midland Reserves

Shots allowed 11.0 · On target allowed 4.5 Shots allowed 9.5 · On target allowed 5.5

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Temperley Reserves Ferrocarril Midland Reserves

The combined recent performance profile favours Temperley Reserves.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

Temperley Reserves = (0.0%)

Ferrocarril Midland Reserves ↑ +5.50 (+64.7%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.