Quilmes Reserves vs Defensores Unidos Reserves

24 Sep 2026 · 20:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.5 pp

Quilmes Reserves

Defensores Unidos Reserves

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 49.7% DRAW 28.0% AWAY 22.3%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 49.1% 2.00 DRAW 28.1% 3.50 AWAY 22.8% 4.32

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.5 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Quilmes Reserves

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Quilmes Reserves Defensores Unidos Reserves

Shots 8.0 · On target 3.0 Shots 7.5 · On target 1.8

Recent attacking output favours Quilmes Reserves, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Quilmes Reserves Defensores Unidos Reserves

Shots allowed 10.8 · On target allowed 4.0 Shots allowed 9.8 · On target allowed 4.5

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Quilmes Reserves Defensores Unidos Reserves

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Quilmes Reserves ↑ +0.27 (+15.8%)

Defensores Unidos Reserves ↑ +0.32 (+7.9%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.