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Bangladesh Premier League · BD

Arambagh KS vs Rahmatgonj MFS

03 Oct 2026 · 11:00
NEAR MARKET +1.9 pp
Arambagh KS
Rahmatgonj MFS
HOME 25.2% DRAW 23.1% AWAY 51.7%
HOME 23.3% 4.10 DRAW 23.3% 4.10 AWAY 53.4% 1.79

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.9 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Arambagh KS

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output
Arambagh KS Rahmatgonj MFS
Shots 6.8 · On target 2.3 Shots 5.8 · On target 1.8

Recent attacking output favours Arambagh KS, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance
Arambagh KS Rahmatgonj MFS
Shots allowed 9.0 · On target allowed 4.5 Shots allowed 9.8 · On target allowed 4.0

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence
Arambagh KS Rahmatgonj MFS

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Arambagh KS ↑ +0.35 (+9.3%)
Rahmatgonj MFS ↑ +0.06 (+3.6%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.