Estrella del Sur Reserves vs Defensores de Cambaceres Reserves

24 Sep 2026 · 17:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.7 pp

Estrella del Sur Reserves

Defensores de Cambaceres Reserves

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 37.5% DRAW 27.6% AWAY 34.8%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 36.8% 2.50 DRAW 27.9% 3.30 AWAY 35.4% 2.60

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.7 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Estrella del Sur Reserves

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Estrella del Sur Reserves Defensores de Cambaceres Reserves

Shots 12.0 · On target 6.0 Shots 10.5 · On target 4.0

Recent attacking output favours Estrella del Sur Reserves, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Estrella del Sur Reserves Defensores de Cambaceres Reserves

Shots allowed 6.3 · On target allowed 3.3 Shots allowed 4.3 · On target allowed 1.5

Defensores de Cambaceres Reserves has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Estrella del Sur Reserves Defensores de Cambaceres Reserves

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Estrella del Sur Reserves ↑ +0.15 (+6.4%)

Defensores de Cambaceres Reserves = (0.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.