DS Edusoccer vs Ponce FC

24 Sep 2026 · 02:30

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE AWAY +2.9 pp

DS Edusoccer

Ponce FC

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 34.0% DRAW 21.4% AWAY 44.6%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 35.7% 2.75 DRAW 22.6% 4.35 AWAY 41.8% 2.35

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Ponce FC relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 44.6% win probability, compared with 41.8% implied by the market. The 2.9 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Ponce FC

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

DS Edusoccer Ponce FC

Shots 11.3 · On target 8.0 Shots 15.0 · On target 6.8

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

DS Edusoccer Ponce FC

Shots allowed 12.5 · On target allowed 7.8 Shots allowed 7.8 · On target allowed 4.8

Ponce FC has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

DS Edusoccer Ponce FC

The combined recent performance profile favours Ponce FC.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

DS Edusoccer ↓ -0.05 (-1.8%)

Ponce FC ↑ +0.40 (+20.5%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.