Spain U20 (W) vs North Korea U20 (W)

27 Sep 2026 · 18:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.6 pp

Spain U20 (W)

North Korea U20 (W)

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 29.0% DRAW 31.2% AWAY 39.8%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 30.8% 3.10 DRAW 30.9% 3.09 AWAY 38.2% 2.50

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.6 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

North Korea U20 (W) has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Spain U20 (W) North Korea U20 (W)

Shots 16.0 · On target 7.5 Shots 20.0 · On target 9.0

Recent attacking output favours North Korea U20 (W), combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Spain U20 (W) North Korea U20 (W)

Shots allowed 4.5 · On target allowed 2.3 Shots allowed 3.3 · On target allowed 0.8

North Korea U20 (W) has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Spain U20 (W) North Korea U20 (W)

The combined recent performance profile favours North Korea U20 (W).

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

Spain U20 (W) ↓ -0.03 (-0.8%)

North Korea U20 (W) ↑ +0.33 (+15.2%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.