SV Rohrbach vs USV Gnas

25 Sep 2026 · 18:30

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +3.5 pp

SV Rohrbach

USV Gnas

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 38.9% DRAW 24.2% AWAY 36.9%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 35.4% 2.60 DRAW 24.9% 3.70 AWAY 39.7% 2.32

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for SV Rohrbach relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 38.9% win probability, compared with 35.4% implied by the market. The 3.5 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: USV Gnas

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

SV Rohrbach USV Gnas

Shots 3.0 · On target 1.8 Shots 6.3 · On target 3.0

Recent attacking output favours USV Gnas, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

SV Rohrbach USV Gnas

Shots allowed 1.3 · On target allowed 0.8 Shots allowed 9.3 · On target allowed 4.0

SV Rohrbach has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

SV Rohrbach USV Gnas

The combined recent performance profile favours SV Rohrbach.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

SV Rohrbach ↑ +0.10 (+4.0%)

USV Gnas ↑ +0.07 (+3.1%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.