Wenzhou Yincai U20 vs Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC U20

25 Sep 2026 · 09:30

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE AWAY +3.6 pp

Wenzhou Yincai U20

Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC U20

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 7.7% DRAW 14.5% AWAY 77.7%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 9.4% 10.00 DRAW 16.4% 5.75 AWAY 74.2% 1.27

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC U20 relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 77.7% win probability, compared with 74.2% implied by the market. The 3.6 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC U20 has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Wenzhou Yincai U20 Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC U20

Shots 6.0 · On target 2.8 Shots 9.5 · On target 5.8

Recent attacking output favours Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC U20, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Wenzhou Yincai U20 Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC U20

Shots allowed 20.0 · On target allowed 9.0 Shots allowed 8.0 · On target allowed 5.3

Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC U20 has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Wenzhou Yincai U20 Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC U20

The combined recent performance profile favours Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC U20.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Wenzhou Yincai U20 ↑ +7.38 (+221.8%)

Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC U20 ↓ -0.46 (-26.6%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.