Yunnan Yukun U20 vs Liaoning Tieren U20

25 Sep 2026 · 09:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +2.9 pp

Yunnan Yukun U20

Liaoning Tieren U20

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 47.7% DRAW 23.2% AWAY 29.0%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 44.8% 2.00 DRAW 24.2% 3.70 AWAY 30.9% 2.90

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Yunnan Yukun U20 relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 47.7% win probability, compared with 44.8% implied by the market. The 2.9 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Yunnan Yukun U20

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Yunnan Yukun U20 Liaoning Tieren U20

Shots 9.3 · On target 4.5 Shots 9.3 · On target 5.3

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Yunnan Yukun U20 Liaoning Tieren U20

Shots allowed 3.8 · On target allowed 2.8 Shots allowed 8.5 · On target allowed 4.5

Yunnan Yukun U20 has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Yunnan Yukun U20 Liaoning Tieren U20

The combined recent performance profile favours Yunnan Yukun U20.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Yunnan Yukun U20 ↓ -1.90 (-48.7%)

Liaoning Tieren U20 ↑ +1.25 (+75.8%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.