Nantong Zhiyun U20 vs Qingdao Red Lions U20

25 Sep 2026 · 09:30

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE AWAY +3.2 pp

Nantong Zhiyun U20

Qingdao Red Lions U20

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 35.7% DRAW 22.9% AWAY 41.4%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 38.0% 2.45 DRAW 23.9% 3.90 AWAY 38.1% 2.44

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Qingdao Red Lions U20 relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 41.4% win probability, compared with 38.1% implied by the market. The 3.2 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Qingdao Red Lions U20 has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Nantong Zhiyun U20 Qingdao Red Lions U20

Shots 13.3 · On target 6.3 Shots 17.0 · On target 9.8

Recent attacking output favours Qingdao Red Lions U20, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Nantong Zhiyun U20 Qingdao Red Lions U20

Shots allowed 9.3 · On target allowed 5.5 Shots allowed 7.5 · On target allowed 4.0

Qingdao Red Lions U20 has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Nantong Zhiyun U20 Qingdao Red Lions U20

The combined recent performance profile favours Qingdao Red Lions U20.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Nantong Zhiyun U20 ↑ +0.16 (+7.0%)

Qingdao Red Lions U20 = (0.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.