CD Luis Angel Firpo Reserves vs CD Aguila Reserves

26 Sep 2026 · 22:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.6 pp

CD Luis Angel Firpo Reserves

CD Aguila Reserves

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 28.0% DRAW 27.2% AWAY 44.9%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 28.3% 3.25 DRAW 27.4% 3.36 AWAY 44.3% 2.08

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.6 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: CD Aguila Reserves

The away side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

CD Luis Angel Firpo Reserves CD Aguila Reserves

Shots 9.0 · On target 2.5 Shots 11.3 · On target 4.0

Recent attacking output favours CD Aguila Reserves, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

CD Luis Angel Firpo Reserves CD Aguila Reserves

Shots allowed 10.3 · On target allowed 4.0 Shots allowed 8.8 · On target allowed 4.3

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

CD Luis Angel Firpo Reserves CD Aguila Reserves

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

CD Luis Angel Firpo Reserves ↓ -0.02 (-0.5%)

CD Aguila Reserves ↓ -0.02 (-1.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.