24 Erzincanspor vs Kirklarelispor

27 Sep 2026 · 18:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.8 pp

24 Erzincanspor

Kirklarelispor

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 66.4% DRAW 20.6% AWAY 13.1%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 64.5% 1.44 DRAW 21.6% 4.32 AWAY 13.9% 6.70

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.8 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

24 Erzincanspor has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

24 Erzincanspor Kirklarelispor

Shots 5.8 · On target 2.5 Shots 5.3 · On target 2.3

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

24 Erzincanspor Kirklarelispor

Shots allowed 6.0 · On target allowed 2.8 Shots allowed 10.0 · On target allowed 4.8

24 Erzincanspor has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

24 Erzincanspor Kirklarelispor

The combined recent performance profile favours 24 Erzincanspor.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

24 Erzincanspor ↓ -0.36 (-19.8%)

Kirklarelispor ↑ +3.00 (+81.1%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.