Lublinianka Lublin vs Swidniczanka Swidnik

25 Sep 2026 · 16:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +2.7 pp

Lublinianka Lublin

Swidniczanka Swidnik

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 70.9% DRAW 19.1% AWAY 10.0%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 68.3% 1.36 DRAW 20.5% 4.55 AWAY 11.3% 8.25

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Lublinianka Lublin relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 70.9% win probability, compared with 68.3% implied by the market. The 2.7 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Lublinianka Lublin

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Lublinianka Lublin Swidniczanka Swidnik

Shots 12.3 · On target 5.3 Shots 1.3 · On target 0.0

Recent attacking output favours Lublinianka Lublin, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Lublinianka Lublin Swidniczanka Swidnik

Shots allowed 6.0 · On target allowed 2.5 Shots allowed 2.8 · On target allowed 1.0

Swidniczanka Swidnik has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Lublinianka Lublin Swidniczanka Swidnik

The combined recent performance profile favours Lublinianka Lublin.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Lublinianka Lublin ↓ -0.09 (-6.0%)

Swidniczanka Swidnik ↑ +3.25 (+65.0%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.