Ibri Club vs Al-Nahda

25 Sep 2026 · 16:35

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.8 pp

Ibri Club

Al-Nahda

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 17.3% DRAW 25.0% AWAY 57.7%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 16.5% 5.59 DRAW 24.6% 3.75 AWAY 58.8% 1.57

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.8 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Al-Nahda

The away side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Ibri Club Al-Nahda

Shots 8.8 · On target 3.0 Shots 9.3 · On target 4.0

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Ibri Club Al-Nahda

Shots allowed 9.3 · On target allowed 4.0 Shots allowed 9.5 · On target allowed 3.8

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Ibri Club Al-Nahda

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Ibri Club ↑ +1.09 (+24.2%)

Al-Nahda ↓ -0.10 (-5.7%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.