ZFK Istatov (W) vs ZFK Ljuboten (W)

25 Sep 2026 · 16:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.2 pp

ZFK Istatov (W)

ZFK Ljuboten (W)

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 10.7% DRAW 14.6% AWAY 74.7%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 9.5% 9.70 DRAW 14.8% 6.25 AWAY 75.7% 1.22

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.2 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: ZFK Ljuboten (W)

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

ZFK Istatov (W) ZFK Ljuboten (W)

Shots 11.5 · On target 5.0 Shots 18.3 · On target 9.8

Recent attacking output favours ZFK Ljuboten (W), combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

ZFK Istatov (W) ZFK Ljuboten (W)

Shots allowed 7.5 · On target allowed 3.8 Shots allowed 15.5 · On target allowed 6.8

ZFK Istatov (W) has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

ZFK Istatov (W) ZFK Ljuboten (W)

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home weakening

ZFK Istatov (W) ↑ +1.70 (+21.3%)

ZFK Ljuboten (W) = (0.0%)

The home price has moved clearly higher, while the away price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.