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Mexico Liga TDP · MX

FC Politécnico vs Aztecas AMF

25 Sep 2026 · 18:00
NEAR MARKET +2.1 pp
FC Politécnico
Aztecas AMF
HOME 63.1% DRAW 18.5% AWAY 18.4%
HOME 64.8% 1.50 DRAW 18.9% 5.13 AWAY 16.3% 5.96

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.1 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Aztecas AMF has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output
FC Politécnico Aztecas AMF
Shots 10.3 · On target 2.8 Shots 10.8 · On target 3.8

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance
FC Politécnico Aztecas AMF
Shots allowed 13.0 · On target allowed 5.5 Shots allowed 8.0 · On target allowed 4.3

Aztecas AMF has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence
FC Politécnico Aztecas AMF

The combined recent performance profile favours Aztecas AMF.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

FC Politécnico ↓ -0.29 (-17.1%)
Aztecas AMF ↑ +2.70 (+71.1%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.