CF Pachuca III vs Águilas Teotihuacán

25 Sep 2026 · 18:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.3 pp

CF Pachuca III

Águilas Teotihuacán

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 91.9% DRAW 4.6% AWAY 3.5%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 90.7% 1.06 DRAW 5.7% 17.00 AWAY 3.7% 26.00

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.3 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: CF Pachuca III

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

CF Pachuca III Águilas Teotihuacán

Shots 11.8 · On target 5.3 Shots 1.5 · On target 0.8

Recent attacking output favours CF Pachuca III, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

CF Pachuca III Águilas Teotihuacán

Shots allowed 9.8 · On target allowed 3.5 Shots allowed 5.0 · On target allowed 1.8

Águilas Teotihuacán has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

CF Pachuca III Águilas Teotihuacán

The combined recent performance profile favours CF Pachuca III.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

CF Pachuca III ↓ -0.02 (-2.1%)

Águilas Teotihuacán ↑ +7.00 (+36.8%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.