Around Soccer vs CD Muxes

25 Sep 2026 · 18:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.2 pp

Around Soccer

CD Muxes

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 16.1% DRAW 22.7% AWAY 61.2%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 15.9% 6.25 DRAW 22.9% 4.33 AWAY 61.2% 1.62

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.2 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: CD Muxes

The away side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Around Soccer CD Muxes

Shots 1.3 · On target 0.5 Shots 13.3 · On target 7.0

Recent attacking output favours CD Muxes, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Around Soccer CD Muxes

Shots allowed 1.8 · On target allowed 1.3 Shots allowed 11.5 · On target allowed 5.3

Around Soccer has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Around Soccer CD Muxes

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Around Soccer ↑ +3.12 (+99.4%)

CD Muxes ↓ -0.35 (-17.8%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.