South Africa U20 vs Zambia U20

25 Sep 2026 · 12:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.7 pp

South Africa U20

Zambia U20

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 47.9% DRAW 25.9% AWAY 26.2%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 47.2% 1.95 DRAW 26.3% 3.50 AWAY 26.4% 3.49

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.7 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Mixed Performance

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

South Africa U20 Zambia U20

Shots 14.8 · On target 6.3 Shots 15.5 · On target 6.0

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

South Africa U20 Zambia U20

Shots allowed 4.8 · On target allowed 1.3 Shots allowed 4.5 · On target allowed 2.3

South Africa U20 has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

South Africa U20 Zambia U20

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

South Africa U20 ↑ +0.29 (+17.2%)

Zambia U20 ↓ -0.26 (-6.8%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.