Aparecidense U20 vs Guanabara City U20

25 Sep 2026 · 14:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.7 pp

Aparecidense U20

Guanabara City U20

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 21.5% DRAW 27.4% AWAY 51.1%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 22.9% 3.99 DRAW 27.7% 3.30 AWAY 49.4% 1.85

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.7 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Guanabara City U20

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Aparecidense U20 Guanabara City U20

Shots 9.3 · On target 3.5 Shots 9.0 · On target 4.0

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Aparecidense U20 Guanabara City U20

Shots allowed 17.5 · On target allowed 9.0 Shots allowed 12.5 · On target allowed 5.0

Guanabara City U20 has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Aparecidense U20 Guanabara City U20

The combined recent performance profile favours Guanabara City U20.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Aparecidense U20 ↑ +0.24 (+6.4%)

Guanabara City U20 ↑ +0.02 (+0.9%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.