Millonarios U19 vs Deportes Tolima U19

26 Sep 2026 · 19:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +2.8 pp

Millonarios U19

Deportes Tolima U19

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 44.5% DRAW 26.7% AWAY 28.7%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 41.7% 2.29 DRAW 27.3% 3.50 AWAY 31.0% 3.08

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Millonarios U19 relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 44.5% win probability, compared with 41.7% implied by the market. The 2.8 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Millonarios U19

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Millonarios U19 Deportes Tolima U19

Shots 9.8 · On target 5.8 Shots 5.3 · On target 2.3

Recent attacking output favours Millonarios U19, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Millonarios U19 Deportes Tolima U19

Shots allowed 5.3 · On target allowed 2.0 Shots allowed 4.5 · On target allowed 1.3

Deportes Tolima U19 has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Millonarios U19 Deportes Tolima U19

The combined recent performance profile favours Millonarios U19.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Millonarios U19 ↑ +0.19 (+9.0%)

Deportes Tolima U19 ↑ +0.28 (+9.8%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.