Alianza Universidad vs Bentin Tacna Heroica

27 Sep 2026 · 20:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.3 pp

Alianza Universidad

Bentin Tacna Heroica

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 44.6% DRAW 28.8% AWAY 26.6%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 47.3% 1.95 DRAW 28.4% 3.25 AWAY 24.4% 3.79

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.3 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Bentin Tacna Heroica

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Alianza Universidad Bentin Tacna Heroica

Shots 9.3 · On target 3.3 Shots 8.8 · On target 4.5

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Alianza Universidad Bentin Tacna Heroica

Shots allowed 14.0 · On target allowed 5.8 Shots allowed 8.3 · On target allowed 3.5

Bentin Tacna Heroica has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Alianza Universidad Bentin Tacna Heroica

The combined recent performance profile favours Bentin Tacna Heroica.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Alianza Universidad ↓ -0.15 (-7.1%)

Bentin Tacna Heroica ↑ +0.69 (+22.1%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.