Huachipato (W) vs Universidad de Chile (W)

27 Sep 2026 · 19:00

OPPORTUNITY

CLEAR EDGE AWAY +4.8 pp

Huachipato (W)

Universidad de Chile (W)

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 6.6% DRAW 14.3% AWAY 79.1%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 9.0% 10.20 DRAW 16.8% 5.45 AWAY 74.3% 1.23

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates Universidad de Chile (W) clearly higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 79.1% win probability, compared with 74.3% implied by the market. The 4.8 percentage-point difference indicates a clear divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Universidad de Chile (W) has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Huachipato (W) Universidad de Chile (W)

Shots 6.0 · On target 2.8 Shots 19.3 · On target 8.0

Recent attacking output favours Universidad de Chile (W), combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Huachipato (W) Universidad de Chile (W)

Shots allowed 14.0 · On target allowed 8.5 Shots allowed 8.3 · On target allowed 3.8

Universidad de Chile (W) has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Huachipato (W) Universidad de Chile (W)

The combined recent performance profile favours Universidad de Chile (W).

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home weakening

Huachipato (W) ↑ +1.20 (+13.3%)

Universidad de Chile (W) ↑ +0.01 (+0.7%)

The home price has moved clearly higher, while the away price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.