La Calamine vs Entente Acren-Lessines

26 Sep 2026 · 19:30

OPPORTUNITY

STRONG EDGE AWAY +6.3 pp

La Calamine

Entente Acren-Lessines

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 44.0% DRAW 24.6% AWAY 31.4%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 50.4% 1.94 DRAW 24.5% 4.00 AWAY 25.1% 3.90

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates Entente Acren-Lessines substantially higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 31.4% win probability, compared with 25.1% implied by the market. The 6.3 percentage-point difference indicates a strong divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: La Calamine

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

La Calamine Entente Acren-Lessines

Shots 9.3 · On target 4.5 Shots 6.5 · On target 3.3

Recent attacking output favours La Calamine, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

La Calamine Entente Acren-Lessines

Shots allowed 24.0 · On target allowed 10.3 Shots allowed 6.3 · On target allowed 2.5

Entente Acren-Lessines has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

La Calamine Entente Acren-Lessines

The combined recent performance profile favours Entente Acren-Lessines.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

La Calamine ↓ -0.11 (-5.4%)

Entente Acren-Lessines ↑ +1.15 (+41.8%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.