Liverpool Montevideo Reserves vs Montevideo Wanderers Reserves

29 Sep 2026 · 15:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.6 pp

Liverpool Montevideo Reserves

Montevideo Wanderers Reserves

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 28.6% DRAW 25.9% AWAY 45.5%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 28.8% 3.20 DRAW 26.3% 3.50 AWAY 44.9% 2.05

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.6 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Montevideo Wanderers Reserves has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Liverpool Montevideo Reserves Montevideo Wanderers Reserves

Shots 6.8 · On target 3.8 Shots 7.8 · On target 4.3

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Liverpool Montevideo Reserves Montevideo Wanderers Reserves

Shots allowed 8.8 · On target allowed 3.8 Shots allowed 7.0 · On target allowed 2.5

Montevideo Wanderers Reserves has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Liverpool Montevideo Reserves Montevideo Wanderers Reserves

The combined recent performance profile favours Montevideo Wanderers Reserves.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Liverpool Montevideo Reserves ↑ +0.17 (+5.4%)

Montevideo Wanderers Reserves ↓ -0.02 (-1.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.