Racing Club de Montevideo Reserves vs Colon FC Reserves

28 Sep 2026 · 16:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.4 pp

Racing Club de Montevideo Reserves

Colon FC Reserves

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 51.6% DRAW 25.7% AWAY 22.7%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 49.2% 1.93 DRAW 26.4% 3.60 AWAY 24.4% 3.90

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.4 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Racing Club de Montevideo Reserves

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Racing Club de Montevideo Reserves Colon FC Reserves

Shots 13.3 · On target 4.8 Shots 10.3 · On target 5.3

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Racing Club de Montevideo Reserves Colon FC Reserves

Shots allowed 12.0 · On target allowed 4.0 Shots allowed 14.0 · On target allowed 6.0

Racing Club de Montevideo Reserves has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Racing Club de Montevideo Reserves Colon FC Reserves

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

Racing Club de Montevideo Reserves = (0.0%)

Colon FC Reserves ↑ +0.65 (+20.0%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.