Swift Hesperange (W) vs FC 03 Differdange (W)

26 Sep 2026 · 19:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.6 pp

Swift Hesperange (W)

FC 03 Differdange (W)

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 84.0% DRAW 10.2% AWAY 5.8%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 82.4% 1.13 DRAW 11.5% 8.08 AWAY 6.2% 15.00

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.6 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Swift Hesperange (W)

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Swift Hesperange (W) FC 03 Differdange (W)

Shots 12.3 · On target 5.8 Shots 10.5 · On target 4.8

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Swift Hesperange (W) FC 03 Differdange (W)

Shots allowed 16.5 · On target allowed 6.5 Shots allowed 16.5 · On target allowed 11.0

Swift Hesperange (W) has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Swift Hesperange (W) FC 03 Differdange (W)

The combined recent performance profile favours Swift Hesperange (W).

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Swift Hesperange (W) ↓ -1.06 (-48.4%)

FC 03 Differdange (W) ↑ +12.50 (+500.0%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.