NK Zagorec Krapina vs NK Bistra

27 Sep 2026 · 18:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.0 pp

NK Zagorec Krapina

NK Bistra

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 53.7% DRAW 24.7% AWAY 21.6%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 52.7% 1.80 DRAW 25.3% 3.75 AWAY 22.0% 4.31

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.0 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: NK Zagorec Krapina

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

NK Zagorec Krapina NK Bistra

Shots 9.8 · On target 4.5 Shots 9.0 · On target 3.5

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

NK Zagorec Krapina NK Bistra

Shots allowed 10.8 · On target allowed 5.5 Shots allowed 11.5 · On target allowed 5.3

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

NK Zagorec Krapina NK Bistra

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

NK Zagorec Krapina ↓ -0.40 (-18.2%)

NK Bistra ↑ +1.56 (+56.5%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.