AC Malcantone vs FC Gambarogno Contone

26 Sep 2026 · 18:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.6 pp

AC Malcantone

FC Gambarogno Contone

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 37.9% DRAW 25.2% AWAY 36.8%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 37.3% 2.49 DRAW 25.8% 3.60 AWAY 36.9% 2.52

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.6 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: AC Malcantone

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

AC Malcantone FC Gambarogno Contone

Shots 14.0 · On target 5.5 Shots 7.5 · On target 3.3

Recent attacking output favours AC Malcantone, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

AC Malcantone FC Gambarogno Contone

Shots allowed 13.0 · On target allowed 6.3 Shots allowed 6.5 · On target allowed 2.8

FC Gambarogno Contone has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

AC Malcantone FC Gambarogno Contone

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

AC Malcantone ↑ +0.04 (+1.6%)

FC Gambarogno Contone ↑ +0.17 (+7.2%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.