Real Tegus vs CD FAS San Lorenzo

28 Sep 2026 · 03:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.4 pp

Real Tegus

CD FAS San Lorenzo

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 43.7% DRAW 26.0% AWAY 30.3%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 44.8% 2.00 DRAW 26.3% 3.40 AWAY 28.9% 3.10

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.4 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

CD FAS San Lorenzo has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Real Tegus CD FAS San Lorenzo

Shots 3.0 · On target 1.5 Shots 7.0 · On target 2.3

Recent attacking output favours CD FAS San Lorenzo, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Real Tegus CD FAS San Lorenzo

Shots allowed 3.8 · On target allowed 1.3 Shots allowed 2.8 · On target allowed 1.3

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Real Tegus CD FAS San Lorenzo

The combined recent performance profile favours CD FAS San Lorenzo.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Real Tegus = (0.0%)

CD FAS San Lorenzo = (0.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.