Deportivo Muniz vs El Porvenir

29 Sep 2026 · 20:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.8 pp

Deportivo Muniz

El Porvenir

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 24.6% DRAW 29.7% AWAY 45.7%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 26.4% 3.66 DRAW 29.8% 3.24 AWAY 43.9% 2.20

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.8 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: El Porvenir

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Deportivo Muniz El Porvenir

Shots 5.8 · On target 2.3 Shots 4.5 · On target 2.5

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Deportivo Muniz El Porvenir

Shots allowed 12.0 · On target allowed 6.8 Shots allowed 5.8 · On target allowed 2.8

El Porvenir has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Deportivo Muniz El Porvenir

The combined recent performance profile favours El Porvenir.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Deportivo Muniz ↑ +0.91 (+33.1%)

El Porvenir ↓ -0.20 (-8.3%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.