CD San Vicente vs Acero

26 Sep 2026 · 17:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.3 pp

CD San Vicente

Acero

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 36.4% DRAW 29.0% AWAY 34.6%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 37.8% 2.38 DRAW 29.0% 3.10 AWAY 33.2% 2.70

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.3 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Acero

The away side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

CD San Vicente Acero

Shots 1.0 · On target 0.5 Shots 8.5 · On target 3.5

Recent attacking output favours Acero, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

CD San Vicente Acero

Shots allowed 2.0 · On target allowed 1.0 Shots allowed 5.0 · On target allowed 2.3

CD San Vicente has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

CD San Vicente Acero

The combined recent performance profile favours Acero.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

CD San Vicente ↑ +0.23 (+10.5%)

Acero ↓ -0.30 (-10.0%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.