Argentina vs Bolivia

01 Oct 2026 · 02:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.9 pp

Argentina

Bolivia

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 90.2% DRAW 6.5% AWAY 3.4%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 89.3% 1.09 DRAW 7.4% 13.19 AWAY 3.4% 29.00

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.9 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Argentina

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Argentina Bolivia

Shots 14.5 · On target 4.8 Shots 7.5 · On target 3.5

Recent attacking output favours Argentina, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Argentina Bolivia

Shots allowed 10.3 · On target allowed 5.3 Shots allowed 9.0 · On target allowed 4.3

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Argentina Bolivia

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Argentina ↑ +0.02 (+1.8%)

Bolivia = (0.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.