Quintero Unido vs Deportes Rancagua

26 Sep 2026 · 23:00

OPPORTUNITY

CLEAR EDGE AWAY +5.6 pp

Quintero Unido

Deportes Rancagua

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 40.6% DRAW 26.8% AWAY 32.6%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 46.4% 2.01 DRAW 26.6% 3.50 AWAY 27.0% 3.45

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates Deportes Rancagua clearly higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 32.6% win probability, compared with 27.0% implied by the market. The 5.6 percentage-point difference indicates a clear divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Deportes Rancagua has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Quintero Unido Deportes Rancagua

Shots 9.5 · On target 5.5 Shots 18.3 · On target 9.0

Recent attacking output favours Deportes Rancagua, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Quintero Unido Deportes Rancagua

Shots allowed 12.3 · On target allowed 6.5 Shots allowed 8.8 · On target allowed 3.0

Deportes Rancagua has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Quintero Unido Deportes Rancagua

The combined recent performance profile favours Deportes Rancagua.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Quintero Unido ↑ +0.06 (+3.1%)

Deportes Rancagua ↑ +0.25 (+7.8%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.