Goias U20 vs Sao Luiz GO U20

26 Sep 2026 · 20:30

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +3.5 pp

Goias U20

Sao Luiz GO U20

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 69.5% DRAW 19.6% AWAY 10.9%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 65.9% 1.42 DRAW 21.3% 4.40 AWAY 12.8% 7.31

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Goias U20 relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 69.5% win probability, compared with 65.9% implied by the market. The 3.5 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Goias U20 has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Goias U20 Sao Luiz GO U20

Shots 15.5 · On target 7.0 Shots 11.0 · On target 4.0

Recent attacking output favours Goias U20, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Goias U20 Sao Luiz GO U20

Shots allowed 7.8 · On target allowed 4.0 Shots allowed 12.5 · On target allowed 5.8

Goias U20 has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Goias U20 Sao Luiz GO U20

The combined recent performance profile favours Goias U20.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

Goias U20 ↓ -0.02 (-1.7%)

Sao Luiz GO U20 ↑ +1.56 (+27.1%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.