Antequera FC vs FC Iguanas

26 Sep 2026 · 23:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +3.0 pp

Antequera FC

FC Iguanas

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 34.7% DRAW 27.7% AWAY 37.6%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 31.7% 3.00 DRAW 27.8% 3.43 AWAY 40.5% 2.35

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Antequera FC relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 34.7% win probability, compared with 31.7% implied by the market. The 3.0 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: FC Iguanas

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Antequera FC FC Iguanas

Shots 1.8 · On target 1.3 Shots 5.5 · On target 2.0

Recent attacking output favours FC Iguanas, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Antequera FC FC Iguanas

Shots allowed 3.0 · On target allowed 1.8 Shots allowed 10.8 · On target allowed 5.0

Antequera FC has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Antequera FC FC Iguanas

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Antequera FC ↓ -0.10 (-3.2%)

FC Iguanas ↑ +0.35 (+17.5%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.