Santa Ana del Conde vs Real Olmeca Sport

27 Sep 2026 · 00:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +3.7 pp

Santa Ana del Conde

Real Olmeca Sport

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 72.7% DRAW 16.9% AWAY 10.4%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 69.0% 1.36 DRAW 18.8% 5.00 AWAY 12.2% 7.70

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Santa Ana del Conde relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 72.7% win probability, compared with 69.0% implied by the market. The 3.7 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Real Olmeca Sport

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Santa Ana del Conde Real Olmeca Sport

Shots 2.3 · On target 1.0 Shots 3.5 · On target 2.0

Recent attacking output favours Real Olmeca Sport, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Santa Ana del Conde Real Olmeca Sport

Shots allowed 4.0 · On target allowed 1.0 Shots allowed 16.0 · On target allowed 5.8

Santa Ana del Conde has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Santa Ana del Conde Real Olmeca Sport

The combined recent performance profile favours Santa Ana del Conde.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Santa Ana del Conde = (0.0%)

Real Olmeca Sport = (0.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.