Atlético Cuernavaca vs FC San José del Arenal

26 Sep 2026 · 19:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.3 pp

Atlético Cuernavaca

FC San José del Arenal

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 71.5% DRAW 15.4% AWAY 13.1%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 73.8% 1.25 DRAW 15.4% 5.98 AWAY 10.8% 8.52

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.3 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

FC San José del Arenal has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Atlético Cuernavaca FC San José del Arenal

Shots 6.5 · On target 2.3 Shots 11.5 · On target 5.5

Recent attacking output favours FC San José del Arenal, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Atlético Cuernavaca FC San José del Arenal

Shots allowed 9.8 · On target allowed 3.0 Shots allowed 7.0 · On target allowed 3.0

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Atlético Cuernavaca FC San José del Arenal

The combined recent performance profile favours FC San José del Arenal.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

Atlético Cuernavaca = (0.0%)

FC San José del Arenal ↑ +1.42 (+23.7%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.