Pachuca U19 (W) vs Puebla U19 (W)

26 Sep 2026 · 20:45

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +2.6 pp

Pachuca U19 (W)

Puebla U19 (W)

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 84.1% DRAW 10.8% AWAY 5.1%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 81.6% 1.14 DRAW 12.4% 7.50 AWAY 6.0% 15.50

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Pachuca U19 (W) relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 84.1% win probability, compared with 81.6% implied by the market. The 2.6 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Pachuca U19 (W)

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Pachuca U19 (W) Puebla U19 (W)

Shots 16.3 · On target 8.0 Shots 6.5 · On target 3.5

Recent attacking output favours Pachuca U19 (W), combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Pachuca U19 (W) Puebla U19 (W)

Shots allowed 9.0 · On target allowed 4.5 Shots allowed 8.3 · On target allowed 5.5

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Pachuca U19 (W) Puebla U19 (W)

The combined recent performance profile favours Pachuca U19 (W).

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

Pachuca U19 (W) = (0.0%)

Puebla U19 (W) ↑ +4.50 (+40.9%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.