Queretaro U19 (W) vs Toluca U19 (W)

26 Sep 2026 · 23:45

OPPORTUNITY

CLEAR EDGE AWAY +4.6 pp

Queretaro U19 (W)

Toluca U19 (W)

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 6.9% DRAW 14.5% AWAY 78.6%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 9.2% 10.10 DRAW 16.8% 5.50 AWAY 74.0% 1.25

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates Toluca U19 (W) clearly higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 78.6% win probability, compared with 74.0% implied by the market. The 4.6 percentage-point difference indicates a clear divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Toluca U19 (W) has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Queretaro U19 (W) Toluca U19 (W)

Shots 7.5 · On target 4.3 Shots 16.0 · On target 9.8

Recent attacking output favours Toluca U19 (W), combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Queretaro U19 (W) Toluca U19 (W)

Shots allowed 16.5 · On target allowed 7.3 Shots allowed 7.3 · On target allowed 3.0

Toluca U19 (W) has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Queretaro U19 (W) Toluca U19 (W)

The combined recent performance profile favours Toluca U19 (W).

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home weakening

Queretaro U19 (W) ↑ +2.60 (+34.7%)

Toluca U19 (W) = (0.0%)

The home price has moved clearly higher, while the away price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.