Jordan vs Syria

27 Sep 2026 · 19:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.4 pp

Jordan

Syria

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 61.0% DRAW 24.1% AWAY 14.9%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 61.5% 1.64 DRAW 24.1% 4.18 AWAY 14.5% 6.97

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.4 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Jordan

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Jordan Syria

Shots 8.0 · On target 3.0 Shots 1.5 · On target 0.8

Recent attacking output favours Jordan, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Jordan Syria

Shots allowed 12.5 · On target allowed 5.0 Shots allowed 4.8 · On target allowed 3.3

Syria has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Jordan Syria

The combined recent performance profile favours Jordan.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Jordan ↑ +0.12 (+7.8%)

Syria ↓ -1.61 (-19.5%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.