Al Ittifaq Dubai vs Al Urooba

28 Sep 2026 · 16:40

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.6 pp

Al Ittifaq Dubai

Al Urooba

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 18.4% DRAW 22.4% AWAY 59.2%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 19.2% 4.86 DRAW 23.2% 4.02 AWAY 57.7% 1.62

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.6 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Al Urooba

The away side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Al Ittifaq Dubai Al Urooba

Shots 7.8 · On target 4.3 Shots 14.3 · On target 6.5

Recent attacking output favours Al Urooba, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Al Ittifaq Dubai Al Urooba

Shots allowed 10.8 · On target allowed 5.0 Shots allowed 11.0 · On target allowed 4.3

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Al Ittifaq Dubai Al Urooba

The combined recent performance profile favours Al Urooba.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home weakening

Al Ittifaq Dubai ↑ +0.41 (+9.1%)

Al Urooba ↓ -0.01 (-0.3%)

The home price has moved clearly higher, while the away price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.