AS Douanes Ouagadougou vs Sporting Cascades

27 Sep 2026 · 17:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.2 pp

AS Douanes Ouagadougou

Sporting Cascades

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 39.9% DRAW 33.5% AWAY 26.6%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 40.9% 2.20 DRAW 32.7% 2.75 AWAY 26.4% 3.40

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.2 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Sporting Cascades

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

AS Douanes Ouagadougou Sporting Cascades

Shots 2.5 · On target 1.3 Shots 2.8 · On target 1.0

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

AS Douanes Ouagadougou Sporting Cascades

Shots allowed 3.3 · On target allowed 2.0 Shots allowed 2.5 · On target allowed 0.5

Sporting Cascades has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

AS Douanes Ouagadougou Sporting Cascades

The combined recent performance profile favours Sporting Cascades.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

AS Douanes Ouagadougou = (0.0%)

Sporting Cascades = (0.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.