Szombathelyi Mav Haladas VSE vs Papai Perutz

27 Sep 2026 · 18:00

OPPORTUNITY

CLEAR EDGE HOME +4.6 pp

Szombathelyi Mav Haladas VSE

Papai Perutz

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 78.9% DRAW 15.0% AWAY 6.1%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 74.4% 1.29 DRAW 17.4% 5.50 AWAY 8.2% 11.70

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates Szombathelyi Mav Haladas VSE clearly higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 78.9% win probability, compared with 74.4% implied by the market. The 4.6 percentage-point difference indicates a clear divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Szombathelyi Mav Haladas VSE has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Szombathelyi Mav Haladas VSE Papai Perutz

Shots 14.3 · On target 8.3 Shots 5.8 · On target 3.3

Recent attacking output favours Szombathelyi Mav Haladas VSE, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Szombathelyi Mav Haladas VSE Papai Perutz

Shots allowed 11.0 · On target allowed 3.8 Shots allowed 16.0 · On target allowed 8.3

Szombathelyi Mav Haladas VSE has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Szombathelyi Mav Haladas VSE Papai Perutz

The combined recent performance profile favours Szombathelyi Mav Haladas VSE.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Szombathelyi Mav Haladas VSE ↑ +0.07 (+5.6%)

Papai Perutz ↑ +3.70 (+46.3%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.