CEFOR Chiapas vs Jaguares de Chiapas FC II

27 Sep 2026 · 23:00

OPPORTUNITY

CLEAR EDGE HOME +4.1 pp

CEFOR Chiapas

Jaguares de Chiapas FC II

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 45.1% DRAW 24.6% AWAY 30.3%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 41.0% 2.33 DRAW 25.5% 3.75 AWAY 33.5% 2.85

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates CEFOR Chiapas clearly higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 45.1% win probability, compared with 41.0% implied by the market. The 4.1 percentage-point difference indicates a clear divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: CEFOR Chiapas

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

CEFOR Chiapas Jaguares de Chiapas FC II

Shots 14.8 · On target 7.5 Shots 4.8 · On target 2.5

Recent attacking output favours CEFOR Chiapas, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

CEFOR Chiapas Jaguares de Chiapas FC II

Shots allowed 11.8 · On target allowed 6.3 Shots allowed 8.3 · On target allowed 4.0

Jaguares de Chiapas FC II has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

CEFOR Chiapas Jaguares de Chiapas FC II

The combined recent performance profile favours CEFOR Chiapas.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

CEFOR Chiapas ↑ +0.02 (+0.9%)

Jaguares de Chiapas FC II ↑ +0.35 (+14.0%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.