Leon U19 vs Juarez FC U19

27 Sep 2026 · 19:30

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +3.1 pp

Leon U19

Juarez FC U19

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 55.1% DRAW 24.6% AWAY 20.3%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 52.0% 1.77 DRAW 25.6% 3.60 AWAY 22.4% 4.11

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Leon U19 relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 55.1% win probability, compared with 52.0% implied by the market. The 3.1 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Leon U19 has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Leon U19 Juarez FC U19

Shots 8.0 · On target 3.8 Shots 7.3 · On target 3.5

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Leon U19 Juarez FC U19

Shots allowed 8.3 · On target allowed 3.0 Shots allowed 13.5 · On target allowed 5.5

Leon U19 has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Leon U19 Juarez FC U19

The combined recent performance profile favours Leon U19.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Leon U19 ↑ +0.04 (+2.4%)

Juarez FC U19 ↑ +0.21 (+5.3%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.